Wildly differing promises by countries to cut greenhouse gas emissions over the next 15 years have turned into a patchwork of confusion in advance of the United Nations-sponsored climate summit in Paris this month, making it unlikely that draconian global action to fight “climate change” will be implemented at the urgent pace that supporters say is needed to meet the problem.
According to a densely-worded and often convoluted 66-page U.N. “synthesis report” prepared in advance of the meeting, the result of those promises, known in climate-speak as “Intended Nationally Determined Contributions,” or INDCs, amounts to a slower future rate of growth for global carbon emissions, but not much more.
At best, the document says, the rate of increase will be half as bad as previous levels that those ringing the climate alarm bells have warned were dangerously out of control. This, the document adds, will demand much tougher actions in decades ahead — provided, of course, that countries that must make the future cuts agree with them.
If all the current promises are kept, “from 2010 to 2030, the relative emission increase in line with the INDCs is expected to be 10 percent to 57 percent lower than the relative global emission increase over the prior two decades from 1990 to 2010,” the report says — adding that emissions during the earlier period were growing by 24 percent.
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